NFL Week 6 Picks

The NFL lines are getting tighter than a drum. But there are a few games on the Week 6 schedule that are unlike anything we’ve seen yet this season. Those are the matchups where the statistics are less likely to stick.

For example, the game we’ve all been waiting for: New England at Dallas. This will be the first real test for the Patriots, yet they’ve already climbed from 5-point favorites at the open to 6.5 points. I suppose it boils down to whether you believe in Tony Romo’s first four games, or his fifth against Buffalo.

I’m also looking at Miami getting five points against Cleveland. These two teams are performing at almost exactly the same level after five weeks, but the Browns have squeezed two wins out of it, while the Fish are 0-5. I’ll “buy low” on the Dolphins here; Cleo Lemon handing off to Ronnie Brown should cash in against defense-poor Cleveland.