2007 turned the fantasy football world upside-down. Quarterbacks thrived, while top running backs fell to injury and disuse. Blame it if you like on the ubiquitous Cover 2 defense, and opposing coaches going for the easy short-yardage passes.
In this brave new NFL, Tom Brady is king. His 426.10 fantasy points lead the Bodog leagues heading into the season finale. There is nobody hotter in the league right now, even with the Patriots offense playing at a lower gear these past few weeks. Pats WR Randy Moss has a chance to overtake Dallas QB Tony Romo and Eagles RB Brian Westbrook for second place this week.
Aside from the walking wounded at tailback, the league’s coldest marquee fantasy player might be Tennessee QB Vince Young. He’s thrown nine TD passes on the season compared to 17 interceptions. Over the past three games, Young has two TD passes, three picks and a grand total of 34 yards rushing. Brrrr.
So the New England Patriots are laying 24 points to the New York Jets. No problem. That makes a lot more sense than when the Pats were –24 against the Eagles, who nearly pulled off the upset in Week 12. Philadelphia has talent. The Jets don’t. They’re 3-10 SU, 4-8-1 ATS and the worst defensive team in the league in terms of efficiency. I’ll eat that chalk, and I’ll like it.
I’ll also take the big favorite in the Indianapolis Colts–Oakland Raiders matchup. That, of course, would be the Colts at –11. The Raiders are playing at a worse level than the Jets despite their 4-9 record (5-8 ATS). That’s because they’ve gotten to play other teams in the awful AFC West so often. Indy is not far behind New England among the league’s elite. A line of anything under two touchdowns seems like a blessing compared to what New England has to cover this week.